Category Archives: Tampa bay rays

PREDICTION FOR TONIGHT

The Phillies will win.

To be honest I’m really feeling a walk off homer. That would only be fair.

The Phils have a nice advantage of getting an extra 3 outs in the rest of the game against the Rays. They also got a break in that Cole can probably come back should their be a seventh game.

Should be a cold night in Philly.

Go Phils!

ADDED 8:21:
PHILS TO WIN -156(.5)

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Filed under PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series

RAYS LIVE TO FIGHT ANOTHER DAY….

…only with help from a mammoth rain storm and Buddy Selig. Props to James for the outstanding picture that really sums up the series and the Selig Administration in general.

The forecast tonight in Philly calls for temps in the low 30s with lots of wind and rain. If this game was being played in similar conditions, I’d guess the attendance at about 1,000 or so. But this is Philly, so no need to worry about the atmosphere.

Because the forecast is so shaky, I’d have one piece of advice for the Phils: Pinch hit Joe Blanton immediately.

The Rays almost didn’t have a place to sleep last night, so they were forced to travel to Wilmington, DE (of course you all know this as the home of the Sherrill clan). Let’s hope some of Delaware’s finest stepped up and made some late night calls to the hotel.

Quote of the night from James Sherrill, concerning fans stepping up and hassling the Rays:
“That would be the greatest moment in Delaware history since George Washington crossed the Delaware River standing up in a rowboat.”

Interesting item here: Apparently the Phillies are World Series champs in Nevada.

On another note, I apologize for the lack of posts recently, things have been way too busy.

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Filed under MLB Playoffs, PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series

DID YOU KNOW?

The Phillies are the worst team ever to make the World Series.

After watching an hour of Sportscenter, I’ve pretty much heard every reason why the Phillies are an awful team.

I love how people are hating on the Phillies so much this year. Apparently if you are a baseball team not from the AL East, or Los Angeles, you don’t exist.

My reason for the Phillies not winning is bad luck. So the Phillies struck out or grounded out weakly with RISP. It’s not like they haven’t done that before. To go 1-28 is nothing more than bad timing.

Enough with “Big Game” James. First Off, he copied that nickname. Second he was very mediocre last night and in general. I wish his name was Bob.

Baseball prospectus has the Phillies at 55% to win the World Series from this point. Thats down from 65% before yesterday’s game, but higher than the 51% that B-Pro gave them before the series started.

On the Season the Rays record was, 92-70 based on run differential, while the Phillies was 93-69. Obviously you could argue that the Rays played a tougher schedule, but I think the Phillies are a better team.

Once again the Phillies got more hits, more total bases, more runners on base in the first two games. They just didn’t get them in. Oh, and they were on the road.

The Phillies may not win this series but it won’t be because they are a worse team than Tampa Bay.

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Filed under james Shields, PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series

Time to disagree

So far the World Series is playing out exactly as I imagined. Cole dominates game one, Myers pitches ok but loses to James Shields. That’s all said and done. Now it’s time to look forward.

The series is 1-1, heading to Philly for three games where the Rays will lose their DH. I don’t really think this will play too much of a factor. It’ll be an automatic out for the Rays pretty much every time the pitcher comes up but I’m more concerned about how Joe Madden is going to manage around this. Could be interesting since he likes to do some unorthodox things.

Anyway, on to game 3. Garza vs. Moyer. I really see no way Garza doesn’t win this game. He’s been money in the playoffs. James seems to think Moyer is due, i seem to think Moyer is done.

That being said, Rays take game three. As for game four, things get a little more interesting. Sonnanstine vs. Blanton. This one is kind of a toss up in my mind, but I’m going to pick the Rays because they are the better team IMO.

Game 5: Cole will dominate yet again.

Game 6: James “Big Game” Shields wins the biggest game of his life and the Rays are crowned World Series Champions for the first time in franchise history.

Should be fun.

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Filed under joe madden, PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series

GAME 2

After having time to cool off from the abortion that was the home plate umpiring last night, I’ve come to the conclusion that the Phillies should be up 2-0 in this series. The Phillies were over the first two games a far superior team. Holding your opponent to 1-28 with RISP, even assuming every player on the other team is a .200 batter is very lucky.
Photo from ESPN.

The Phillies have left 22 runners on base in this series compared to only 7 for the Rays. Some would say that means the Rays are capitalizing, but two games is such a short sample that I call this luck. The Phillies have 28 Total bases to 16 for the Rays.

Another frustrating thing, is watching “Big Game” James Shields. The only apparent reason for this nickname is it rhymes. His postseason K/9, BB/9, HR/9, WHIP, Opponents Avg. and FIP are all up from the regular season. Obviously this could be due to better teams, but hes lucky to strand almost 80% of runners on base compared to a career average of around 72.

Looking ahead to for the Phils, they send Jamie Moyer to the hill on Saturday night.

Considering my firm belief in the law of averages.(Moyer will average out two crappy starts with a good one) and the Rays struggles against left handed pitching, I feel good.

Rays v RHP: .267 BA, .434 SLG, .778 OPS
Rays v LHP: .246, .396, .726

I don’t know if it has any bearing on the rest of the series, but through the first two games the phillies proved they were a far better team.

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PISSED OFF

The Phillies should have outscored Tampa Gay 15-6 in these first two games. 1-1,894,437 with RISP is a joke.

In related news, Switzerland is pissed today, because that umpire was an embarrassment to neutrality.

A wikipedia search reveals that Kerwin Joseph Danley was born in Los Angeles on May 25th, 1961. Mad Dodgers fan anyone?

Also, he was hit in the head by a 96mph fastball earlier this season and had to be carted off the field.

By my count, That’s two reasons he shouldn’t be umping.

I can’t wait until he takes his mask off and reveals a Gayhawk. Tim Donaghy would be proud of that effort behind home plate.

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Filed under KERWIN DANLEY, PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series

WORLD SERIES PREVIEW


Well that was exciting. My Evan Longoria stock on oneseason.com is skyrocketing today so i am generally in a good mood. Lets get to the matchups:

Catchers:

Navarro vs. Ruiz: I’ll be honest, i don’t know too much about Ruiz, but i do know that Navarro is both a solid defensive and offensive catcher. He had a few clutch hits in the ALCS and look for him to slow down Shane Victorino a bit. I’m not saying he’ll throw him out but he may have him thinking twice about going.

Advantage: RAYS

First Basemen:

Pena vs. Howard: This one is pretty evenly matched. Neither one is stellar in the field but is more than capable of coming up with a big homerun at anytime. Pretty much the same player in my mind.

Advantage: EVEN

Second basemen:

Iwamura vs. Utley: I mean, obviously this one is going to go to Chase Utley b/c he’s pretty much God’s gift to baseball but…it’s a closer matchup than most would be, give iwamura all the credit in the world, he’s a great second basemen with a solid bat. regardless, i cant choose him over utley.

Advantage: Phillies

Short Stop:

Bartlett vs. Rollins: This is a tough matchup. Usually I would pick Jimmy but he really hasnt been doing much for me lately. The “sure handed” bartlett hasn’t really looked as such either. Each player has kind of been letting me down therefore,

Advantage: EVEN

Third Base:

Longoria vs. Feliz/Dobbs: Does it really matter who Evan Longoria is up against? The man is an animal. He is having an unbelievable postseason for a rookie (for anyone, honestly) and look for that dominance to continue in the world series.

Advantage: Rays

Right Field:

Gross/Baldelli vs. Werth: Gross/Baldelli each are mediocre right fielders on good days. They can each hit the ball occasionally, (one of them had a big hit last night, i think it was Baldelli) and each is an average fielder. Werth is solid at the plate, good speed, great fielder.

Advantage: Phillies

Center Field:

Upton vs. Victorino: Wow, this is an incredibly even matchup. Each player brings so much to their team. Upton, absolutely punishing the ball lately. Tons of speed, great fielder. Shane Victorino, always on base, always getting big hits, always running around making plays. These two players are huge for both these teams. Whichever player steps up more in this series, their team will probably win the world series.

Advantage: Even

Left Field:

Crawford vs. Burrell: This is a tough matchup. Crawford has great speed but he hasnt really showed me much lately. he’s batting around .300 in the playoffs. Pat Burrell is doing the same, but obviously adds more of a long ball threat. This ones pretty even.

Advantage: Even

Starting Pitchers:

Shields: B+ (0-2 in the ALCS, pitched decent however)
Kazmir: A-
Garza: A (Outdueled Lester TWICE, phillies fans are lucky i dont give him an A+)
Sonnanstine: B+

RAYS Starting Pitchers: A-

Hamels: A+ (2-0 NLCS, ERA under 2)
Myers: B (Never sure what you’re gonna get from him)
Moyer: B (has not pitched well this postseason)
Blanton: B

PHILLIES Starting Pitchers: B+

Advantage: Rays

Bullpen:

The bullpens have been pretty much a strength for both teams this postseason. In the words of James Sherrill upon being asked his opinion of the Phillies Bullpen he responded with “sick nasty…madson and lidge are on fuckin fire”. That about sums up my analysis of them. The Rays bullpen however is also just as “sick nasty”. JP Howell, Wheeler (what?), and Price, along with others were a huge part in winning the ALCS.

Advantage: Even

Closer:

Wheeler vs. Lidge: Wheelers been pretty good for the Rays this postseason, but so has Lidge. And Lidge hasnt blown a save all year. So that pretty much sums up this comparison.

Advantage: Phillies
That makes it 3-3. IMO, the Rays will win this series in 6 and here’s why. Their starting pitching is that much better than the Phillies. Everyone has focused on the Rays hitting this year but really, they would be nothing without the tremendous work their starting pitching staff has done all season and post season. I think Victorino and Upton will each have a very solid series, so starting pitching is where the difference is going to be made. They shut down the Red Sox for the most part and i see no reason why they shouldnt do the same with the Phillies.

PREDICTION:

RAYS IN 6.

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Filed under PHILLIES, Tampa bay rays, World series