Category Archives: COLLEGE FOOTBALL

DOES GEORGIA HAVE VALUE HAS A BCS FUTURE?

Over the past couple of days, Georgia has drawn my attention as a team that may have some serious value to win the BCS Title next year, or at least the SEC.(They are currently +5000 at the Greek for the title). The reason: Losing Matt Stafford and Knowshon Moreno have drawn everyone’s attention and I have heard several ESPN talking heads calling Georgia the nation’s biggest losers.

Let’s take a look at Matty Stafford’s Career numbers.

Stafford could best be described as a above average quarterback in his first two years. He definitely showed improvement in his senior year.

But, Georgia went 9-3 last year and then won the always impressive Capital One Bowl over Big-11 powerhouse Michigan State(note: sarcasm). The year before Georgia went 10-2 and won the prestigious Sugar Bowl over WAC powerhouse Hawaii(note: half sarcasm).

Looking at Stafford’s mediocre 2007 numbers, I’m pretty confident that his replacement could come in and do that. The obvious question will be, does Georgia have the same team around Stafford that they did in 2007?

Now, there is still the issue of Knowshon Moreno. Moreno ran for 16 TD’s, 1400 yards(best in the SEC) and averaged 5.6 ypc. That is basically the same as the year before.

If the young offensive line improves I am pretty sure that Georgia can get somewhat similar production from their younger backs. The key for me seems to be Georgia lost a lot of talent two years ago on the line. Ask Clemson(wait that gives me another idea) what a young offensive line can do to an otherwise talented team.

Looking at some stats that may indicate how the line played I came up with this:

I guess they improved a little. I think an entire off season of conditioning and spring practices might help them a little more, but this is really just guessing.

Keep in mind, Georgia’s roster was made up of 47 freshman, 32 sophomores, 19 juniors and 19 seniors last season. They also have the 7th best Recruiting class at the moment according to Rivals.com.

I’m throwing this post out as an idea. I’ll be back sometime later this week with a look at what figures to be a pretty brutal schedule.

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MONDAY PICKS

Fiesta Bowl:
Ohio State +9(2)

College Basketball:
VCU -24 (.8)
Idaho +14(.8)

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ADDING TWO MORE.

CFB: Utah -9(2)
CBB: Arizona St +1(1.6)

I wasn’t sold on Utah but I found enough good evidence on it. Arizona St was an ommission. You may notice, that the College Football units have been higher for bowl season. That was part of my plan to bump up unit size in the New Year, but that is no longer a smart option. As it stands, I’m going to keep the unit size for bowl season, then go back to normal units for awhile.

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FINAL PICK POST OF THE DAY

Western Mich +3 -105(2)
Oregon +1(2)

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AFTERNOON ENTERTAINMENT

CBB: Houston -9(.8)
CFB: Nevada -3 -105(2)

I wish I bet on Nevada earlier. The other two College games are definite possibilities(Oregon, Western Michigan). Plenty of College Basketball options tonight as well, so stay tuned.

EDIT: One More for afternoon CBB:

Coppin St +9(.8)

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SATURDAY PICKS

Wisconsin +6 -105(1)
I really hate games like this. Wisconsin is clearly a team that has been overrated all season. On the other hand, Florida St. is too. I’m hearing too much FSU is too fast, Wisky’s defense is terrible, The Big 10 sucks logic not to make this a play.

College Basketball:
Idaho St +13(.8)

Passing: Iona, FAU, UC Irvine, Colo St.

NFL:
There is nothing worse than the last week of the NFL season, It is really hard to get an accurate judge on two teams with nothing left to play for. The games where there is a playoff team against a 2-13ish type team will drive you crazy. I think my plans are to make those game small plays or no plays and save money for what will be some fairly unattractive home dogs in the first round of the playoffs. Leans:

Tennessee(please disregard everything I said about meaningless games for this one)
Seattle
Philadelphia
Baltimore
San Diego
Minnesota
Buffalo

Smaller leans:
Cincy
Houston
Miami
Cleveland

I’ll put the pigskin pick’em picks up tomorrow.

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NEXT TWO DAYS

I’ll be out of town and in all likely hood away from a computer.

Had to get this in.

FAU+7(4)

This is poor money management and I might be a little on tilt. I know some other people stayed off TCU, but I don’t regret making that my biggest bet of the year. TCU absolutely dominated that game, just could not put it into the end zone.

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