Over the past couple of days, Georgia has drawn my attention as a team that may have some serious value to win the BCS Title next year, or at least the SEC.(They are currently +5000 at the Greek for the title). The reason: Losing Matt Stafford and Knowshon Moreno have drawn everyone’s attention and I have heard several ESPN talking heads calling Georgia the nation’s biggest losers.
Stafford could best be described as a above average quarterback in his first two years. He definitely showed improvement in his senior year.
But, Georgia went 9-3 last year and then won the always impressive Capital One Bowl over Big-11 powerhouse Michigan State(note: sarcasm). The year before Georgia went 10-2 and won the prestigious Sugar Bowl over WAC powerhouse Hawaii(note: half sarcasm).
Looking at Stafford’s mediocre 2007 numbers, I’m pretty confident that his replacement could come in and do that. The obvious question will be, does Georgia have the same team around Stafford that they did in 2007?
Now, there is still the issue of Knowshon Moreno. Moreno ran for 16 TD’s, 1400 yards(best in the SEC) and averaged 5.6 ypc. That is basically the same as the year before.
If the young offensive line improves I am pretty sure that Georgia can get somewhat similar production from their younger backs. The key for me seems to be Georgia lost a lot of talent two years ago on the line. Ask Clemson(wait that gives me another idea) what a young offensive line can do to an otherwise talented team.
Looking at some stats that may indicate how the line played I came up with this:
I guess they improved a little. I think an entire off season of conditioning and spring practices might help them a little more, but this is really just guessing.
Keep in mind, Georgia’s roster was made up of 47 freshman, 32 sophomores, 19 juniors and 19 seniors last season. They also have the 7th best Recruiting class at the moment according to Rivals.com.
I’m throwing this post out as an idea. I’ll be back sometime later this week with a look at what figures to be a pretty brutal schedule.