TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND 2

Player

total wins

odds

Luke Donald

19.06%

425

Matt Kuchar

9.50%

952

Keegan Bradley

7.67%

1204

Adam Scott

7.37%

1256

Steve Stricker

6.36%

1473

Jason Day

6.29%

1490

Hunter Mahan

5.13%

1851

Phil Mickelson

5.01%

1898

Charles Howell III

4.38%

2183

Jason Dufner

3.97%

2420

K.J. Choi

3.70%

2606

Brandt Snedeker

3.28%

2951

Bill Haas

2.74%

3547

Chez Reavie

2.57%

3794

Webb Simpson

2.13%

4586

Justin Rose

2.09%

4680

Dustin Johnson

1.79%

5499

Geoff Ogilvy

1.58%

6229

Aaron Baddeley

1.48%

6666

Nick Watney

0.75%

13305

Bubba Watson

0.64%

15623

Fredrik Jacobson

0.61%

16293

Bo Van Pelt

0.61%

16347

Jonathan Byrd

0.46%

21830

Gary Woodland

0.23%

44148

David Toms

0.21%

47977

Y.E. Yang

0.15%

68393

John Senden

0.13%

76823

Mark Wilson

0.10%

101941

Vijay Singh

0.06%

178471

Anyone know what is going on with Stricker? Shoots a solid 2-under round today and is somehow over 30-1 to win this week. Although, I guess it’s not terribly unfamiliar.

Stricker was complaining about strength in his arm today, but he drove it longer than the field average (impressive since 10% of the field is Bubba Watson, Gary Woodland and Dustin Johnson.) Seems like a pretty good round today for Stricker and I’m not sure what I’m missing. By the way, here’s a look at how every player who withdrew the previous week has done if they played the following week going back to the Masters (Heritage the next week.)

 

Player

Tourney

Rel to Avg

Round

Chris Couch

Deutsche Bank Champ.

1.8498792

2

Pat Perez

Deutsche Bank Champ.

1.2463735

4

Hunter Haas

Barclays

2.2464145

2

Retief Goosen

Wyndham Champ

-0.438447

4

Rocco Mediate

Wyndham Champ

-0.018262

2

Nick O’Hern

Greenbriar Classic

-1.690636

4

George McNeill

Viking Classic

-3.059488

4

Chris Couch

John Deere Classic

-0.493513

4

Tim Petrovic

Travelers

-1.018959

4

Alex Cejka

US Open

0.6857183

2

D.J. Trahan

Memphis St. Jude

-1.817819

4

Alex Cejka

Memorial

2.1489961

4

Matt Bettencourt

PLAYERS

1.155612

2

Richard S. Johnson

The Heritage

1.2478658

2

AVERAGE

PGA

2.0437353

0.046449

Coincidentally that number is basically what I used to adjust Stricker pre-tournament (also reflected above) based on the first round lines. We all know the drill, Stricker won’t win this week, but I think 30-1 is too high.

Kuchar is in great shape, too. I’d say people will catch on sometime before his Sunday 73.

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