2011 PGA CHAMPIONSHIP: ROUND 2 LIVE ODDS

Player

total wins

odds

Steve Stricker

38.71%

158

Luke Donald

3.68%

2617

Rory McIlroy

3.40%

2843

Lee Westwood

3.10%

3130

Adam Scott

2.82%

3444

Scott Verplank

2.41%

4043

Bill Haas

2.36%

4141

Jerry Kelly

2.21%

4417

Nick Watney

2.01%

4880

Matteo Manassero

1.86%

5288

Brendon de Jonge

1.76%

5595

Simon Dyson

1.71%

5748

Matt Kuchar

1.49%

6629

Anders Hansen

1.48%

6648

Phil Mickelson

1.40%

7023

Davis Love III

1.39%

7074

Stewart Cink

1.39%

7105

John Senden

1.34%

7374

Shaun Micheel

1.33%

7441

Brandt Jobe

1.18%

8346

Jason Day

1.07%

9246

Zach Johnson

1.05%

9388

K.J. Choi

1.02%

9666

Steve Stricker

Only one real story here. Great round from Stricker today. I wonder how many players will play 15-18 in -2 this week. Stricker picked up about 3.5 of his around 10 shots on the field just in that stretch alone.

I realize there probably isn’t a great history with players leading big after round 1 and Stricker does not have a good history closing majors, but I don’t think most people realize how good he really is. If there is one player who I have been continually impressed with and continually has exceeded my expectations it is Steve Stricker. He hits it long enough, he’s a very good mid-iron player and he has the world’s best short game.

How did I do?

Two days ago I predicted the course average based solely on the last four PGA Championships and hole yardage. So, How did I do?

Hole

Yardage

Proj Avg.

1st Round

Difference

1

454

4.223

4.0513

-0.172

2

512

4.467

4.2564

-0.210

3

475

4.311

4.3846

0.073

4

219

3.236

3.2115

-0.025

5

565

4.689

4.6538

-0.036

6

425

4.101

4.1603

0.059

7

184

3.089

3.0385

-0.051

8

467

4.278

4.3718

0.094

9

426

4.106

4.2051

0.099

10

442

4.173

3.9615

-0.211

11

457

4.236

4.1474

-0.088

12

551

4.631

4.8782

0.248

13

372

3.879

4.0833

0.205

14

468

4.282

4.1795

-0.103

15

260

3.408

3.4359

0.028

16

476

4.316

4.2179

-0.098

17

207

3.186

3.1603

-0.025

18

507

4.446

4.7115

0.266

TOTAL

7467

73.057

73.1088

0.003

Overall, I was right on, though I did miss on a few holes. I wonder if that was because of easy hole positions or moved up tees or whatever.

Interestingly, water didn’t seem to have a huge effect except on 18. The 15th hole was brutally long with a water hazard right next to it, but played almost identically to the 3.4, that I projected it. Maybe 18 should be a par-5 the next time around. It played harder than the 5th which is 60 yards longer.

Tiger Woods

This is a perfect example of why you don’t change your swing without practicing. Tiger clearly had some personal stuff going on last year around Whistling Straits, but it’s hard to say he’s moved forward at all this year. Tiger is still the most talented golfer in the world, but it’s going to take a lot of work to get this new swing down. I thought playing three weeks in the playoffs would be good for Tiger coming into this week, but I think he’d be better off hitting the range for a while after today.

I’m bumped his ranking back to just his two-years since the return, and that gives him about a 1 in 10 chance of playing on the weekend.

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