2011 PGA CHAMPIONSHIP: LIVE FIRST ROUND ODDS

1:40 PM:

Two holes to go and Steve Stricker is -7.

Score

<63

63

64

>64

Steve Stricker

2.20%

19.80%

47.00%

31.00%

 

1:15 PM:

That was a nice birdie for Stricker now -7 through 14 holes.

Score

<63

63

64

>64

59 or less

Steve Stricker

5.00%

18.80%

32.00%

44.20%

0.00%

Alexander Noren

0.00%

2.00%

5.80%

92.20%

0.00%

1:10 PM:

Adding Alex Noren who just made Eagle. Stricker about to tap in for birdie.

Score

<63

63

64

>64

59 or less

Steve Stricker

0.00%

2.80%

10.20%

87.00%

0.00%

Alexander Noren

0.20%

3.00%

7.40%

89.40%

0.00%

12:50 PM:

Stricker’s odds drop after apparently he missed a short birdie putt on 3. Part of that is because he’s running out of holes to make birdies and part of that is because guys keep making bogeys so my course average keeps drifting up.

Score

<63

63

64

>64

59 or less

Steve Stricker

6.60%

11.70%

23.00%

58.70%

0.00%

To win:

1000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

0.30%

33233

6

15

Padraig Harrington*

0.20%

49900

3

14

Steve Stricker*

27.30%

266

-6

12

Phil Mickelson*

2.90%

3348

0

17

Alexander Noren

0.80%

12400

-3

11

Luke Donald*

3.70%

2603

-1

16

 

12:30 PM:

Stricker -6 thru 11

Score

<63

63

64

>64

Steve Stricker

17.70%

17.80%

23.20%

41.30%

 

12:20 PM:

Adding the Steve Stricker score tracker:

Score

<63

63

64

>64

Steve Stricker

17.80%

19.60%

19.60%

43.00%

 

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

0.15%

66567

5

13

Padraig Harrington*

0.00%

#DIV/0!

3

13

Steve Stricker*

28.35%

253

-6

10

Phil Mickelson*

2.00%

4900

1

11

Bubba Watson*

1.55%

6352

-1

11

Luke Donald*

4.90%

1941

-2

13

 

12:00 PM:

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

0.90%

11011

4

11

Padraig Harrington*

0.25%

39900

3

11

Steve Stricker*

22.25%

349

-5

9

Phil Mickelson*

1.65%

5961

1

11

Bubba Watson*

4.70%

2028

-3

9

Luke Donald*

9.55%

947

-2

11

 

11:50 AM:

Will update in a few with Stricker’s birdie on 9.

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

1.05%

9424

4

11

Padraig Harrington*

0.20%

49900

3

11

Steve Stricker*

15.75%

535

-5

9

Phil Mickelson*

1.70%

5782

1

11

Bubba Watson*

4.35%

2199

-3

9

Luke Donald*

9.35%

970

-2

11

 

11:15 AM:

Tiger is falling apart.

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

2.70%

3604

2

9

Padraig Harrington*

0.50%

19900

1

8

Steve Stricker*

15.05%

564

-4

6

Phil Mickelson*

2.10%

4662

1

10

Paul Casey*

0.20%

49900

1

6

Luke Donald*

6.60%

1415

-1

9

 

10:30 AM:

Okay, I guess 15 is hard.

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

6.60%

1415

-1

6

Padraig Harrington*

0.80%

12400

1

6

Steve Stricker*

18.75%

433

-3

4

Phil Mickelson*

3.35%

2885

0

7

Paul Casey*

1.30%

7592

0

4

Luke Donald*

3.30%

2930

0

6

 

10:00 AM:

Tiger has looked pretty good so far, but he started well at Whistling Straits, too. He’s coming up to a “tough” stretch of 15-18. I say “tough” because the media called this whole course hard and so far, guys are scoring pretty well.

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

16.400%

510

-3

5

Padraig Harrington*

1.200%

8233

0

5

Steve Stricker*

7.800%

1182

-2

2

Phil Mickelson*

2.300%

4248

0

6

Paul Casey*

0.700%

14186

1

2

Luke Donald*

10.300%

871

-2

5

 

9:30 AM:

Wouldn’t put too much into these, because it’s still early, but it should be a decent barometer of where things are going.

2000

sims

     

Tiger Woods*

13.950%

617

-2

3

Padraig Harrington*

1.800%

5456

-1

3

Steve Stricker

2.650%

3674

Phil Mickelson*

2.900%

3348

0

3

Paul Casey

0.700%

14186

Luke Donald*

11.450%

773

-2

3

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