VOLVO WORLD GOLF MATCH PLAY: ROUND OF 16

I’m not sure how the same structured sim can come up with this for winners:

Player

Sim w%

ODDS

VEGAS

ROI

Lee Westwood

12.22%

718

450

$0.67

Martin Kaymer

11.16%

796

640

$0.83

Luke Donald

10.61%

843

465

$0.60

Rory McIlroy

9.49%

954

1000

$1.04

Graeme McDowell

8.91%

1022

1200

$1.16

Francesco Molinari

7.78%

1185

1800

$1.48

Charl Schwartzel

6.16%

1523

1000

$0.68

Ross Fisher

5.80%

1624

2700

$1.62

Alvaro Quiros

5.57%

1695

950

$0.58

Ian Poulter

5.22%

1816

1750

$0.97

Soren Kjeldsen

3.88%

2477

3500

$1.40

Nicolas Colsaerts

3.26%

2967

2500

$0.85

Jhonattan Vegas

3.09%

3136

3300

$1.05

Aaron Baddeley

2.76%

3523

2000

$0.58

Seung-Yul Noh

2.20%

4445

4000

$0.90

Johan Edfors

1.89%

5191

7000

$1.34

And this for tomorrow’s first matches:

Player

16 w%

ODDS

VEGAS

ROI

Lee Westwood

58.70%

-142

-180

$0.91

Martin Kaymer

60.56%

-154

-190

$0.92

Luke Donald

64.89%

-185

-260

$0.90

Rory McIlroy

50.44%

-102

-120

$0.92

Graeme McDowell

49.56%

102

-110

$0.95

Francesco Molinari

59.68%

-148

-125

$1.07

Charl Schwartzel

51.77%

-107

-135

$0.90

Ross Fisher

48.23%

107

105

$0.99

Alvaro Quiros

58.55%

-141

-170

$0.93

Ian Poulter

41.30%

142

150

$1.03

Soren Kjeldsen

39.44%

154

158

$1.02

Nicolas Colsaerts

50.15%

-101

-135

$0.87

Jhonattan Vegas

49.85%

101

105

$1.02

Aaron Baddeley

40.32%

148

-105

$0.79

Seung-Yul Noh

41.45%

141

140

$0.99

Johan Edfors

35.11%

185

200

$1.05

I’m assuming Baddeley and Molinari’s recent play is why I’m so far off in that one, but all the rest look pretty close.

I’ll update the Volvo again tomorrow night. Toms odds are coming later…

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