WHO WANTS BUBBA WATSON TO WITHDRAW FROM THE ACCENTURE MATCH PLAY CHAMPIONSHIP?

Bubba Watson pulled out of this week’s Northern Trust Open with an abdominal strain. Here’s 10 players that are hoping he doesn’t show up based on average money won in next week’s Accenture World Match Play Championship.

Player

w/Bubba

w/o Bubba

Difference

Henrik Stenson

$0.00

$89,746.50

$89,746.50

Robert Karlsson

$110,524.50

$129,899.50

$19,375.00

Phil Mickelson

$155,228.00

$173,611.50

$18,383.50

Ernie Els

$141,103.00

$156,011.50

$14,908.50

Kyung-Tae Kim

$84,673.00

$97,788.00

$13,115.00

Ryo Ishikawa

$87,120.00

$99,504.50

$12,384.50

Francesco Molinari

$143,936.50

$154,351.00

$10,414.50

Camilo Villegas

$112,993.00

$123,309.00

$10,316.00

Matteo Manassero

$91,789.00

$101,123.50

$9,334.50

Rory McIlroy

$155,402.00

$164,081.00

$8,679.00

 

Obviously Henrik Stenson is the biggest beneficiary as he gets into the field this week. That’s worth nearly $90,000.

Robert Karlsson would draw Hiroyuki Fujita, who may not be as bad as whatever ranking I used for him, but almost certainly is worse than K.J. Choi.

Mickelson goes from having random Japanese Tour player Brendan Jones in the first round to Thomas Bjorn, which shouldn’t be much of an improvement because the eight rounds I have for Jones are way better than he is, but actually I think gets most of the credit for easier potential second and third round matchups.

And, here’s the bottom 10:

Player

w/ Bubba

w/o Bubba

Difference

Jonathan Byrd

$109,091.50

$101,814.00

-$7,277.50

Zach Johnson

$136,567.50

$129,168.00

-$7,399.50

Seung-Yul Noh

$87,271.00

$78,837.00

-$8,434.00

Matt Kuchar

$169,236.50

$160,641.50

-$8,595.00

Ben Crane

$134,679.50

$125,539.50

-$9,140.00

Stewart Cink

$124,595.50

$115,155.00

-$9,440.50

Jason Day

$139,790.00

$127,575.50

-$12,214.50

Peter Hanson

$120,977.00

$107,671.00

-$13,306.00

Graeme McDowell

$152,258.00

$136,735.50

-$15,522.50

Retief Goosen

$171,850.50

$154,375.50

-$17,475.00

Goosen loses Hiroyuki Fujita in the first round for Mark Wilson. Wilson is playing over his head right now, but I am 100% confident he is better than Fujita.

McDowell suffers because Jones is pretty overrated in my rankings (will be fixed for next week).

Sueng-Yul Noh moves up to take on Tiger. Fun.

Byrd moves from Playing McIlroy in the first round to Stricker, which by my rankings is pretty –EV. Probably higher than the truth at this point.

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4 Comments

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4 responses to “WHO WANTS BUBBA WATSON TO WITHDRAW FROM THE ACCENTURE MATCH PLAY CHAMPIONSHIP?

  1. If Watson or Molinari choose to withdraw, am I correct in assuming that moves all players behind one spot, or does #65 and/or #66 simply take the place of the player withdrawing? I’m assuming it screws up all the matchups, which is a pain for the bracket pool I’m trying to get out today instead of Sunday.

  2. Correct. Everyone behind Bubba moves up a spot and Stenson or whoever would slide into the No. 64 spot.

  3. Actually, after the Bracket is set on Sunday, the player who withdraws spot is taken by the first alternate…http://www.golfweek.com/news/2011/feb/19/stenson-match-play-after-taniguchi-wd/

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