BARCLAYS ROUND 3 FED EX CUP PROJECTIONS

Stricker now the favorite to win, with a pretty good round yesterday. Dustin Johnson moves up to second in average Fed Ex Cup points earned. Tiger is second likeliest to win cup, because he has a great chance of winning an event thus putting himself right there. He also has a higher chance of playing poorly and being out next week than the other contenders.

PLAYER Adv to DB Adv to BMW Adv to TC Average Points 1 avg rank
Steve Stricker 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 2,198.63 16.85% 6.2
Tiger Woods 97.86% 85.99% 58.08% 1,335.48 13.73% 28.3
Jim Furyk 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,580.03 8.32% 10.2
Dustin Johnson 100.00% 100.00% 99.96% 1,758.21 6.52% 9.1
Phil Mickelson 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,381.53 5.98% 12.2
Matt Kuchar 100.00% 100.00% 99.98% 1,524.98 4.54% 10.4
Ernie Els 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,411.82 4.18% 10.7
Hunter Mahan 100.00% 100.00% 99.98% 1,225.94 3.40% 12.9
Paul Casey 100.00% 100.00% 78.55% 942.27 2.96% 19.7
Justin Rose 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,325.07 2.54% 11.9
Zach Johnson 100.00% 100.00% 93.00% 974.40 2.36% 17.6
Jason Day 100.00% 100.00% 88.38% 1,123.19 2.22% 16.9
Retief Goosen 100.00% 100.00% 79.51% 827.51 1.96% 20.8
Rory McIlroy 100.00% 100.00% 69.41% 700.63 1.74% 23.1
Tim Clark 100.00% 100.00% 93.70% 866.70 1.58% 19.0
Luke Donald 100.00% 100.00% 80.29% 765.60 1.46% 21.2
Robert Allenby 100.00% 100.00% 73.75% 696.35 1.44% 22.8
Anthony Kim 100.00% 100.00% 61.40% 625.38 1.44% 25.2
Bubba Watson 100.00% 100.00% 99.94% 964.53 1.42% 16.3
Camilo Villegas 100.00% 100.00% 86.05% 816.03 1.42% 20.1
Jeff Overton 100.00% 100.00% 99.64% 867.32 1.30% 18.1
Nick Watney 100.00% 100.00% 51.40% 541.93 1.18% 27.8
Rickie Fowler 100.00% 100.00% 77.09% 696.53 1.12% 23.0
Ben Crane 100.00% 100.00% 95.86% 781.74 1.06% 19.6
Adam Scott 100.00% 100.00% 64.49% 697.84 0.92% 24.6
Sean O’Hair 100.00% 100.00% 37.09% 387.28 0.92% 32.9
Bo Van Pelt 100.00% 100.00% 64.11% 530.23 0.86% 25.8
Ian Poulter 100.00% 99.30% 31.93% 353.01 0.66% 37.1
Padraig Harrington 100.00% 99.00% 34.45% 369.64 0.62% 35.4
Martin Laird 100.00% 97.54% 70.63% 1,051.96 0.54% 23.4
J.B. Holmes 100.00% 100.00% 35.61% 318.24 0.46% 32.6
Kevin Na 100.00% 99.94% 27.41% 284.15 0.42% 37.5
Geoff Ogilvy 100.00% 95.02% 15.31% 191.48 0.40% 47.1
Brian Gay 100.00% 96.62% 16.09% 163.62 0.38% 45.7
Ryan Palmer 100.00% 100.00% 61.20% 517.87 0.34% 26.8
K.J. Choi 100.00% 100.00% 15.17% 151.57 0.30% 43.4
Lucas Glover 100.00% 66.91% 10.70% 135.04 0.28% 56.5
Bill Haas 100.00% 100.00% 51.52% 388.19 0.26% 29.1
Bryce Molder 100.00% 90.94% 10.74% 115.53 0.26% 50.4
Charley Hoffman 100.00% 60.56% 9.02% 107.71 0.22% 60.9
Kenny Perry 100.00% 34.65% 7.18% 99.67 0.22% 72.4
Ryan Moore 100.00% 100.00% 13.55% 153.84 0.16% 47.1
David Toms 100.00% 75.09% 9.32% 103.08 0.16% 54.7
Brandt Snedeker 100.00% 91.84% 7.96% 88.01 0.16% 53.9
Rory Sabbatini 100.00% 67.11% 7.18% 79.16 0.16% 60.2
Scott Verplank 100.00% 94.84% 10.74% 109.23 0.14% 49.2
John Senden 99.98% 77.73% 17.87% 177.49 0.12% 51.6
Kevin Streelman 99.88% 67.25% 16.09% 168.70 0.12% 56.8
Stephen Ames 100.00% 65.99% 9.26% 98.25 0.12% 59.0
Stewart Cink 100.00% 95.82% 10.32% 92.93 0.10% 47.9
Justin Leonard 100.00% 47.88% 5.20% 55.95 0.10% 67.3
Davis Love III 84.41% 24.89% 3.36% 41.35 0.10% 80.4
Angel Cabrera 100.00% 75.49% 12.71% 132.39 0.08% 53.9
Paul Goydos 100.00% 20.59% 3.42% 43.56 0.08% 80.6
Vaughn Taylor 100.00% 100.00% 31.55% 269.16 0.06% 36.1
Charlie Wi 100.00% 97.88% 14.11% 119.05 0.06% 46.2
Heath Slocum 100.00% 99.08% 13.65% 114.91 0.06% 45.7
Jason Bohn 100.00% 100.00% 9.16% 82.64 0.06% 48.6
Steve Marino 100.00% 43.86% 6.30% 74.40 0.06% 68.4
Pat Perez 100.00% 58.32% 5.26% 53.32 0.06% 63.7
Vijay Singh 100.00% 29.91% 4.26% 52.04 0.06% 75.1
Michael Sim 100.00% 68.13% 9.00% 96.66 0.04% 58.8
Brendon de Jonge 100.00% 100.00% 10.14% 74.67 0.04% 43.3
Marc Leishman 100.00% 93.36% 6.62% 59.99 0.04% 52.8
D.J. Trahan 100.00% 62.44% 5.52% 56.25 0.04% 62.6
Matt Jones 100.00% 59.52% 4.34% 45.74 0.04% 64.1
Charles Howell III 100.00% 63.85% 4.54% 45.27 0.04% 61.0
Chad Campbell 100.00% 37.03% 3.26% 37.20 0.04% 72.6
Tim Petrovic 100.00% 33.25% 2.52% 27.69 0.04% 74.5
Webb Simpson 99.20% 38.62% 2.84% 26.43 0.04% 72.4
Tom Gillis 100.00% 16.79% 1.98% 19.90 0.04% 82.3
Ryuji Imada 99.10% 48.96% 6.50% 61.96 0.02% 67.5
Y.E. Yang 100.00% 61.68% 5.10% 52.51 0.02% 62.6
D.A. Points 100.00% 33.83% 3.06% 30.73 0.02% 74.0
J.P. Hayes 96.44% 31.25% 3.08% 29.80 0.02% 76.0
Chad Collins 99.72% 16.79% 2.32% 24.91 0.02% 83.6
Brian Davis 100.00% 75.03% 2.66% 23.57 0.02% 61.4
Chris Couch 91.72% 23.73% 1.90% 19.57 0.02% 80.6
John Rollins 100.00% 24.97% 1.60% 16.18 0.02% 77.7
Robert Garrigus 64.31% 11.80% 1.32% 13.77 0.02% 92.3
Andres Romero 53.72% 8.26% 1.10% 13.25 0.02% 95.6
Steve Elkington 100.00% 14.59% 1.30% 12.59 0.02% 83.7
Carl Pettersson 100.00% 100.00% 14.09% 90.30 0.00% 39.1
Fredrik Jacobson 100.00% 97.92% 6.92% 68.99 0.00% 52.9
Ricky Barnes 100.00% 100.00% 7.06% 62.78 0.00% 49.2
Stuart Appleby 100.00% 100.00% 7.96% 50.14 0.00% 44.6
Jason Dufner 100.00% 28.65% 3.40% 36.96 0.00% 76.0
Josh Teater 99.94% 40.84% 3.00% 29.55 0.00% 71.5
Spencer Levin 100.00% 47.92% 1.96% 18.97 0.00% 68.5
J.J. Henry 100.00% 25.09% 1.80% 18.45 0.00% 78.0
Boo Weekley 100.00% 10.28% 1.56% 18.21 0.00% 87.0
Greg Chalmers 100.00% 52.92% 2.04% 16.59 0.00% 67.4
Jimmy Walker 100.00% 19.89% 1.18% 13.07 0.00% 80.5
Troy Matteson 87.11% 22.33% 1.46% 12.48 0.00% 82.3
Blake Adams 85.81% 7.50% 1.26% 11.78 0.00% 90.7
Shaun Micheel 100.00% 16.05% 1.12% 11.27 0.00% 82.7
Garrett Willis 98.12% 6.94% 1.00% 10.49 0.00% 90.4
Aaron Baddeley 72.21% 10.68% 0.94% 9.35 0.00% 89.7
Kris Blanks 100.00% 7.92% 0.88% 9.08 0.00% 89.2
Alex Prugh 100.00% 5.54% 0.54% 5.81 0.00% 91.1
Jonathan Byrd 30.35% 5.66% 0.54% 5.00 0.00% 101.5
Chris Riley 56.10% 3.52% 0.36% 4.39 0.00% 95.2
John Merrick 31.55% 3.40% 0.36% 3.49 0.00% 100.9
David Duval 37.82% 2.88% 0.14% 2.11 0.00% 102.8
Kevin Sutherland 14.87% 1.46% 0.26% 1.56 0.00% 99.9
Jerry Kelly 1.10% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00 0.00% 103.1
Alex Cejka 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 0.00% 104.4

MAKING BANK
TOP 5 in ROUND 3
Dustin Johnson $225,718.08
Martin Laird $139,960.99
Justin Rose $104,158.14
Adam Scott $47,854.50
Ryan Palmer $46,548.59

TOP OVERALL
Dustin Johnson $239,148.04
Martin Laird $161,540.99
Jason Day $146,232.48
Matt Kuchar $110,994.05
Justin Rose $109,414.42

BURNING CASH
BOTTOM 5 for ROUND 3
Tiger Woods -$96,593.43
Ernie Els -$57,401.74
Robert Allenby -$41,375.58
Ben Crane -$40,311.19
Zach Johnson -$27,384.47

BOTTOM 5 OVERALL
Phil Mickelson -$128,637.16
Ernie Els -$71,789.28
Anthony Kim -$54,794.85
Tim Clark -$50,240.01
Bo Van Pelt -$40,037.05

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