PLAYERS SATURDAY

Furyk slipped in on the cut-line after getting up and down on the 18th. John Merrick would have been a true hero if his birdie on 18 had knocked out Furyk at -1. Alas, it was not to be.

Tiger
It would have been great for Mickelson and Furyk to miss the cut, because I have between 0 and 1% confidence in Tiger Woods to not do something incredibly aggravating this weekend. Half of Tiger’s holes give me confidence that he could do something ridiculous this weekend, the other half have me completely convinced he will be putting an 8 on the scorecard at some point.

The bottom line is Tiger needs to start making birdies. To do that, I think he has to take the driver out of the head cover. He can’t hit the ball 250 with his 5-wood and expect to get many birdie opportunities, especially if his fairway woods seem to be no more accurate than his driver. He’s got to drive the ball farther down the course, knock some short irons close and hope to get lucky with some putts.

Easy Course
The 5 year average from Shot tracker is around 73.3 strokes. The first two rounds of this year’s edition the field played in around 71.3 strokes, or 2 better than the 5 year average.

Contenders:
Lee Westwood– It’s a shame all the players around Westwood are either similar(Big Shot Bob) or random above average pros, because I think Westwood is generally underrated compared to other top golfers. As it stands, Westwood is the obvious favorite and is too good not to break through against an elite field at some point.

Robert Allenby: Speaking of players that are too good not to win something at some point, Big Shot Bob. Allenby should be a little higher than what I have priced below and I think the reason is a proven track record of leaving tournaments he should have won with a t-4 check. If Allenby keeps up his consistently strong level of play, he has to win, if only by accident, at some point.

Francesco Molinari: Molinari is a great player for sure, but he is going to jump into the level of Europeans Johnny Miller has heard of with a strong showing this weekend. Molinari is absolutely the second favorite to win this tournament right now, but he’s not in Westwood’s league just yet.

THE ODDS

Player Holes left Percent Odds
Lee Westwood 36 30.54% 227
Francesco Molinari 36 10.82% 824
Heath Slocum 36 8.36% 1096
Ryuji Imada 36 7.87% 1170
Lucas Glover 36 5.41% 1749
Robert Allenby 36 4.42% 2164
Luke Donald 36 3.27% 2963
Paul Goydos 36 2.34% 4178
Charley Hoffman 36 2.33% 4201
Ben Crane 36 1.95% 5032
Kenny Perry 36 1.78% 5508
Ryan Moore 36 1.59% 6194
Tiger Woods 36 1.58% 6218
Bo Van Pelt 36 1.45% 6818
Davis Love III 36 1.39% 7106
K.J. Choi 36 1.29% 7652
John Rollins 36 1.09% 9083
Bill Haas 36 1.08% 9202
Hunter Mahan 36 0.93% 10683
Adam Scott 36 0.91% 10842
Graeme McDowell 36 0.89% 11166
J.B. Holmes 36 0.84% 11799
Sergio Garcia 36 0.78% 12760
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