PLAYERS LIVE ODDS: 10AM

I adjusted Tiger down a little, to be a little fair to current the odds. If Tiger comes out and plays well, I fully expect the oddmakers to adjust his ability accordingly.

The averages come from the hole averages since 2003 at TPC Sawgrass.

Player Holes left Percent Odds
Tiger Woods 72 20.38% 391
Tim Clark* 62 4.35% 2198
Phil Mickelson* 66 3.72% 2591
Lee Westwood 72 2.76% 3524
Charley Hoffman 62 2.74% 3553
Dustin Johnson* 66 2.25% 4335
Alex Prugh* 62 2.00% 4902
Hunter Mahan 72 1.85% 5319
Henrik Stenson* 66 1.82% 5389
Paul Casey 66 1.82% 5407
Sergio Garcia 72 1.76% 5596
Padraig Harrington 72 1.66% 5929
Brian Gay* 67 1.61% 6100
David Toms* 65 1.57% 6257
Ernie Els* 66 1.57% 6286
Stephen Ames* 65 1.49% 6610
Luke Donald 68 1.46% 6771
Kenny Perry 72 1.45% 6817
Alvaro Quiros 63 1.44% 6846

I’m not comfortable taking anything more away from Tiger, hence about 4-1 to win. Personally, I think that is still too low, but since I’m the only one, I’ll cave.

Mickelson has been basically played to his average so far this morning. Not a huge adjustment in his odds from the start.

Other than those two, Alex Prugh, who was around 900-1 to win before the tournament, is now 50-1 after a hot start. Tim Clark as the second most likely to win, shouldn’t surprise anyone as Clark is really good and a -2 thru 10 start is pretty good.

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