I adjusted Tiger down a little, to be a little fair to current the odds. If Tiger comes out and plays well, I fully expect the oddmakers to adjust his ability accordingly.
The averages come from the hole averages since 2003 at TPC Sawgrass.
I’m not comfortable taking anything more away from Tiger, hence about 4-1 to win. Personally, I think that is still too low, but since I’m the only one, I’ll cave.
Mickelson has been basically played to his average so far this morning. Not a huge adjustment in his odds from the start.
Other than those two, Alex Prugh, who was around 900-1 to win before the tournament, is now 50-1 after a hot start. Tim Clark as the second most likely to win, shouldn’t surprise anyone as Clark is really good and a -2 thru 10 start is pretty good.