I looked at all the players in the field, so scroll down and click links if you want to see that.

The Picks:
Luke Donald to win +7500(.25)
Luke Donald top-5 +700(1.43)

Luke Donald top-10 +250(1)
Phil Mickelson +110 v. Retief Goosen(2)*
Donald +115 v. Sean O’Hair(1)
Hunter Mahan -105 v. Goosen(1)

*Combination of Mickelson +105(1) and +115(1)

Round 1 only:
Mahan -120 v. Angel Cabrera(1)
Nick Watney +110 v. Dustin Johnson(1)
Mickelson +105 v. Goosen(1)

I’m not really sure I need any explanation that I haven’t already given on those picks.

Vivendi Trophy:
I can’t find any odds on this for the group match-ups, which is unfortunate, but I do like the Molinari top European scorer, so:
Francesco Molinari Top Continental Europe point scorer +1015(.9)

Molinari is the third best player on the continental Europe team and that is counting Robert Karlsson as a top-ten player in the world. After a long layoff it’s doubtful that Karlsson is truly that good. Another huge plus is Molinari has an easy draw tomorrow, facing off against the two worst GB&I players in foursomes.

Here is what I would set the odds at for tomorrow’s best ball matches:
McIlroy & McDowell -105 v. Kjeldsen & Quiros +105
Wall & Wood +140 v. Stenson & Karlsson -140
Dyson & Wilson +110 v. Hansen & Hanson -110
Rock & Webster +127 v. Molinari & Hansen -127
Dougherty & Fisher +105 v. MAJ & GFC -105.

And, finally the +EV looks for the Tour Championship:
Mythically speaking, flat betting this group would risk $6,761 to win $10,000.


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