HIT IT CLOSE, STUPID

Was Tiger’s 63, the best round of his season?

Hardly, although compared to his last three rounds it sure looks like it. Actually Tiger’s first round at Quail Hollow, first round at the AT&T National and final round at the Memorial were all better in relation to the field.

The key to Tiger’s turnaround today, aside from the Law of Averages, was he hit the ball a lot closer to the hole. Here is a look at Tiger’s hole-by-hole breakdown through the first two rounds. Distance is in feet.
Loc=Location of shot.
G=Green
F=Fairway
R=Rough
B=Bunker
Light blue is birdie, dark blue is eagle and light brown means bogey. Par is white.
tigerrd2
Here is some more breakdowns from Tiger based on how far away from the hole is birdie attempts were in feet:
birdorb=Birdie or better %
bogow=Bogey or worse %
tigerftrd2
As you can see, hitting the ball closer to the hole is a good thing. Tiger’s birdies have come from an average of 5.4 feet, part from 24.88 feet from the hole and bogeys from 40.88 feet. On the flip side of this, John Daly who shot 88 today and a 51 on the front was an average of 66.8 yards away from the hole for birdie.

Moral of the story: hit it close, stupid.

The Odds:
buickop2
A few quick notes:
-Tiger’s price is ludicrous. This is a terrible field, but Senden is pretty good(about equal to Na), but coming off a 63(The greatest round ever BTW) against an obviously terrible field Tiger to NOT win is the definitely the right thing to do.

-I still think Tiger is not quite back to 100%. He did hit the ball better today, but he also made an absurd amount of 10 foot putts. Part of that is luck. Oh, and for the record, Kevin Na’s average birdie attempt was closer than Tiger’s today, although he putted like the American(?) Alex Noren.

-Pretty sure John Daly’s 88 is going to be the worst round shot on the 3 tours I keep track of in the past year. When the course average is under par and you shoot 88 that is not good at all.

-Alex Noren: 14 greens, 37 putts. Are you kidding me. 37 putts. 37 putts. That is horrendous for a pro golfer. 40% scrambling for the week, too.

Picks:
Tiger to NOT win -130(1)
Spencer Levin -110 v. David Duval(1)

Good luck and enjoy the weekend.

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