Includes Watson bogey at 15, Marino triple and Retief’s Eagle. Got to love how Marino throws away almost everything he gained back on one hole. I still maintain he is playing pretty well today, just has gotten no good breaks at all. I bet his comments will be along the line of this is the highest I could have shot today.
11:30: Definite turning point in the course, getting to the 12th tee. First 11 Holes played at +3.2 over par. Last 7 played to and average of +.82 over par yesterday.
10:10: Thru the leader’s first hole:
Goosen is now the favorite. Goosen has seen the biggest improvement. Vijay Singh has fallen the furthest, although the small amount of holes they have played probably skews it a bit.
9:15: Not surprisingly, the odds haven’t changed too much at the top. Biggest movers so far, McDowell, Stenson and Jaidee.
2:00 AM: We will see how this turns out. No idea when I get up in the morning, but at that point, I plan on updating every half hour. Here are the picks:
Furyk -125 v. Goosen(1)
Villegas +120 v. Westwood(1)
Steve Marino Top-10 +105(1)
Steve Marino Top-5 +300(1)
Steve Marino to win +2200(.43)
I thought about a few others, but drunk decisions are probably not good decisions. AM claims that the weather is going to be awful(he seems trustworthy on that matter) so I reworked my in-running odds on just today’s round. With 155 guys playing in very similar conditions I’m not sure I lose anything due to SSS, but I don’t fully trust these, so don’t go firing away on any live markets.
A few others of note: Garcia is 2.65%(probably higher all things considered), Villegas is 3.31%, Furyk is at 3.7% and Stricker is at .69%.
I think yesterday will be the hardest that Turnberry plays, but assuming it plays equal to that 278(-2) is good enough for the win 279 gets a playoff. Logically, I think 276-278 is the winning score this week.
Anyone know of any books offering Live Odds? I’d love to be able to compare these to the Vegas prices.