First part was here.
Angel Cabrera: Might be the second worst bet in the field. Cabrera won the Masters(wow, no one seems to care right now) and is the 2007 Champ from Oakmont. That makes him pretty overrated. Cabrera can hit the ball a mile and has a streaky putter which means if he has his game clicking he can absolutely win. The problem is overall he is just as likely to miss the cut.
Michael Campbell: Campbell has no shot. I guess he has had injury problems, but he hasn’t made the cut at one tournament this season on the European Tour.
Jim Furyk: Furyk has arguably been one of the hottest players on tour recently. Furyk has registered 6 top tens in 10 starts, but is probably getting enough attention for someone who hasn’t won this season. Furyk is not the longest hitter in the world yet has still managed to make a solid career, so the length of Bethpage Black should not pose a real threat to him. In fact, he was the only player to hit more fairways than Tiger last week and fits the profile of some of the shorter hitters that actually did well here last time around. Of course, Furyk missed the cut.
Danny Lee: When Lee didn’t make it through regular qualifying, I wonder if he regretted turning pro. Especially since he was still an Amateur when he won on the Euro Tour.
Drew Kittleson: Kittleson missed the cut at the Masters with rounds of 78-72.
Trevor Immelman: I’d have to say Immelman is a lucky major championship winner. I want no part of him at Bethpage Black. Immelman is really just not that much better than the average golfer and hasn’t finished higher than 19th on the season.
Zach Johnson: A few months ago I would have put Zach Johnson in the same category as Immelman but that is clearly not fair to Johnson. Johnson is a good short iron player and a good putter and when he gets it going he is absolutely the type of player that deserves to have 3 wins in the last 9 months. That being said, La Cantera and Wailae Country Club are slightly different from the US Open. 50-1 doesn’t stand out as being great, but it is probably a pretty fair price.
Phil Mickelson: This has to be the worst bet in the field this week. Phil is popular, getting a lot of sentiment for the Amy situation, and did well last time around. However, one thing stands out to me, “Phil to win St. Jude +1100” and, “Phil to win US Open +825.” Phil is not more likely to win with Tiger in the field.
British Open Champs
Padraig Harrington: Padraig will be an interesting case next week, considering how poorly he has played of late. The question I have to keep asking myself is do I really want to get behind a three time major winner. That answer is clearly no, there will be much better options.
Todd Hamilton: Speaking of obscure Major Champions with almost no shot of winning next week.
Vijay Singh:Singh is another interesting case. After the knee surgery following the Mercedes Benz Singh was awful. Lately, he has turned it around posting three straight finishes better than 16th at the PLAYERS, Nelson and Colonial before missing the cut at the Memorial. The bottomline is Singh’s two wins late last season overstate how he played overall and 40-1 is just two steep with Tiger in the field.
Henrik Stenson: Stenson is very similar to Angel Cabrera. He has a few nice high finishes(third in Houston, win at Sawgrass, 2nd in Qatar, 3rd in Dubai) but also some poor ones(77-CA Championship, 2 straight missed cuts on the Euro Tour). With the added attention that comes with winning the PLAYERS championship I don’t know that Stenson is the great look he was two months ago.
2008 US Senior Champ:
Eduardo Romero: No shot.