SHELL HOUSTON OPEN FIRST LOOK

Just saw the odds at the Greek for the first time. Not surprisingly most of my ideas are European.

Sergio Garcia may not turn into a pick, but at 20-1, priced alongside Stricker and Harrington he certainly stands out among that group. The swedish duo of Henrik Stenson and Robert Karrlson are very interesting as well. I’m not sure this course really fits their games, but there is no reason these guys should be priced behind Charley Hoffman. Lee Westwood at 60-1 also jumped off the page to me. I’m going to have to think about these after how the Euro’s played last week, but these prices seem ridiculous at first glance.

On the other side of it, Phil is ridiculously overpriced. I thought I would have to wait for the Masters to fade Phil but this week could offer a good oppurtunity. Geoff Ogilvy has a high finish at Redstone in his past, but otherwise should probably not be the second highest player in the field.

Obviously Charley Hoffman and Davis Love are overrated this week. I love how people are making a big deal of Davis getting passed in the OWGR’s for a spot in the Masters. Deal with it, Davis sucks.

If you love America, Paul Casey and Rory McIlroy are probably priced a little too high in relation to the other Euros. As always, I need to see a lot more before I make final decisions.

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