Half way through the NFL season and it has been very good to me. 5-0 last week was awesome. ON TO WEEK 9:
STONE COLD LOCKS
Oakland +2.5 v. Atlanta: Sucks that Oakland is only getting 2.5 on ESPN’s pigskin pick’em. Fortunately if you are betting on them this weekend you’ll probably be getting 3 or 3.5.
Miami +3.5 @ Denver: Absolutely loved this one early in the week, then I saw the Football Outsider Rankings on these two teams. Now, I love it more. Denver’s defense is 30th in the DVOA rankings.
Washington -2.5 v. Pittsburgh: Skins are a better team, people think Pittsburgh is better, I’ll be taking the Redskins.
WON’T BE BETTING THIS GAME:
Seattle +6.5 @ Eagles: The public is saying Eagles pretty heavily in this one, But I just don’t think the perception of the Eagles is right here. FO has them as the best team in the league. I think that is higher than most idiots would put the Eagles. Still if it doesn’t count, I’ll go against the Public and Andy Reid.
STRONG OPINIONS:
St. Louis +3 @ Arizona: The public really likes the Card’s. I have no real opinion on either team. If St Louis hadn’t beaten the Cowboys and Redskins I would like this pick a lot more.
Minnesota -4.5 v. Houston: Woah, so Houston beat a couple of crappy teams and I’m supposed to take 4.5 points with them on the road. Not happening. Houston is good, in that they may be the class of the bad teams in the NFL this year.
Baltimore +1.5 @ Cleveland: Split Action on this one. I think Baltimore is the better team, FO has them in the top 5 in the NFL. Plus, it’s never bad to pick former UD Grad Joe Flacco.
NYG -7.5 v. Dallas: First, ESPN is giving NYG 2 points here. That helps. Also, the Giants are actually a better team than Dallas. As much as it pains me to say it, The Giants are good, Dallas is bad/mediocre.(It doesn’t pain me to say Dallas is bad.)
Kansas City +8.5 v. Tampa Bay: That sound you hear is the tears hitting my keyboard as I have to go against Tampa Bay for the first time this season. It’s been fun boys.
THE REST
NYJ +5.5 @ Buffalo
Lions +12.5 @ Chicago
Cincy +7.5 @ Jacksonville
Green Bay +6.5 @ Tennessee
New England +5.5 v. Indianapolis: Only because I hate Peyton Manning.
There is nothing worse than betting on shitty road dogs. Not only is your team worse, they are on the road. These are the games that make me puke.