Monthly Archives: January 2011

If you listened to the CBS announcers, you would have thought that every shot was “well played” and Jhonny Vegas is the second coming of Tiger. That’s probably not true. Vegas, in his previous work on the Nationwide Tour was … Continue reading →

Live Odds refreshed throughout the day: Updated 6:01:28 PM 1000 sims Player Pct Thru Bubba Watson 81.60% 17 Phil Mickelson 3.90% 16 Jhonattan Vegas 14.40% 17   Updated 5:41:06 PM 1000 sims Player Pct Thru Bubba Watson 72.10% 16 Phil … Continue reading →

Unlike anyone in the media, I dusted off my calculator for a true Farmers Insurance Open Leaderboard. Calculated on standardize scores from the course today, then converted back to the South average. aRank and aScore are actual score and rank … Continue reading →

Player total wins odds vegas winning Tiger Woods 29.95% 234 265 $1.09 Phil Mickelson 3.54% 2729 1950 $0.72 Nick Watney 3.13% 3100 2100 $0.69 Hunter Mahan 2.41% 4049 4800 $1.18 Dustin Johnson 2.31% 4229 2100 $0.51 Robert Allenby 2.05% 4778 … Continue reading →

That really depends on your criteria. Has Martin Kaymer been the second best player in the world since the PGA Championship? No, He’s actually been the best. (Here is the top-10): Martin Kaymer -0.88278 32 Lee Westwood -0.80399 20 Paul … Continue reading →

I’m not sure how I could be so far off Kaymer, etc. before the tournament and right on now: Player total wins odds vegas winning Martin Kaymer 54.43% -119 -140 $0.93 Charl Schwartzel 13.29% 652 660 $1.01 Graeme McDowell 10.60% … Continue reading →

Player total wins odds vegas winning Lee Westwood 8.59% 1065 800 $0.77 Paul Casey 6.57% 1423 1400 $0.98 Martin Kaymer 5.63% 1676 700 $0.45 Phil Mickelson 5.28% 1795 2200 $1.21 Rory McIlroy 4.66% 2047 1000 $0.51 Retief Goosen 4.61% 2068 … Continue reading →

1000 sims: Updated 9:22:06 PM   Player Pct Thru Robert Garrigus 20.30% 16 Jonathan Byrd 78.50% 16 Graeme McDowell 1.10% F — Updated 9:07:20 PM   Player Pct Thru Robert Garrigus 19.20% 16 Jonathan Byrd 65.70% 15 Graeme McDowell 15.10% … Continue reading →

Haven’t had a chance to really look into this, but: Player total wins odds Robert Garrigus 17.40% 475 Steve Stricker 14.14% 607 Carl Pettersson 11.83% 746 Jonathan Byrd 11.55% 766 Jim Furyk 10.95% 814 Ernie Els 7.33% 1264 Francesco Molinari … Continue reading →

@Jalnichols posed a good question about whether or not there is any meaning to Steve Stricker’s underperformance in major championships compared to dominance against similar fields in the FedEx Cup. Over a 5-year period, Stricker’s average is -.64, only topped … Continue reading →