Monthly Archives: August 2010
BARCLAYS ROUND 3 FED EX CUP PROJECTIONS
Stricker now the favorite to win, with a pretty good round yesterday. Dustin Johnson moves up to second in average Fed Ex Cup points earned. Tiger is second likeliest to win cup, because he has a great chance of winning … Continue reading
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BARCLAYS ROUND 2 UPDATED FED EX CUP PROJECTIONS
PLAYER Adv to DB Adv to BMW Adv to TC Average Points TO WIN Tiger Woods 99.13% 93.12% 74.67% 1,843.89 19.79% Steve Stricker 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 2,153.60 15.92% Jim Furyk 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,594.05 8.30% Phil Mickelson 100.00% 100.00% 99.95% … Continue reading
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FED EX CUP PROJECTED STANDING AFTER BARCLAYS FIRST ROUND
Updated FED EX Cup Projections after Round 1 at Barclays. (Sorry for Delay): PLAYER Adv to DB Adv to BMW Adv to TC Average Points 1 avg rank Tiger Woods 99.52% 97.00% 85.24% 2,293.33 27.25% 11.6 Steve Stricker 100.00% 100.00% … Continue reading
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UPDATED FED EX CUP PROJECTIONS WITH COMMENTARY
Can’t believe Jim Furyk was disqualified from the first event. What a joke that is. PLAYER Adv to DB Adv to BMW Adv to TC Average Points Steve Stricker 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 2,180.55 Phil Mickelson 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1,705.33 Tiger … Continue reading
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2010 FED-EX CUP ODDS AND SIMULATION
Together with XLSSports, I came up with a spreadsheet that simulates the FED EX Cup. Below are the results from 5,000 simulations: -Didn’t adjust Tiger at all -There was around a 1.1% chance that the FEC ends in a tie. … Continue reading
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IS PUTTING RANDOM? PART 2
I went back and changed the simulation a little to factor in different number of strokes taken. Here’s what the 2009 Sample Looked like Average number of Putts: 925.05 Standard Deviation of Putts: 207.60 Average %: 87.1% Standard Deviation %: … Continue reading
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ARE PRO GOLFERS THE SAME AT PUTTING?
I’ve been copying down some golf stats for a few projects, but one thing stuck out to me very quickly. How similar the putting stats looked for all PGA Pro’s. Let’s take for example, “Putting from Inside 10 feet.” The … Continue reading
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PGA CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS ROUND 4
10,000 simulations, Obviously includes the chances of going to a playoff which is around 19%. Player win alone win in playoff playoff total wins Nick Watney 45.62% 5.98% 12.53% 51.60% -107 Dustin Johnson 9.43% 2.50% 5.46% 11.93% 738 Rory McIlroy … Continue reading
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UPDATED PGA CHAMP ODDS: TIGER DONE ROUND 2
Matt Kuchar 36 16.92% 491 Jim Furyk 36 12.14% 724 Nick Watney 36 10.90% 817 Tiger Woods 36 7.47% 1239 J.B. Holmes 36 5.91% 1591 Dustin Johnson 36 4.86% 1959 Zach Johnson 36 4.29% 2232 Rory McIlroy 36 4.03% 2384 … Continue reading
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PGA CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND 1.5
Matt Kuchar 36 19.83% 404 Nick Watney 36 12.94% 673 Tiger Woods 48 7.02% 1324 Dustin Johnson 36 5.89% 1599 Jim Furyk 45 5.70% 1655 Zach Johnson 36 5.31% 1785 Rory McIlroy 36 5.03% 1890 Bryce Molder 36 2.79% 3486 … Continue reading
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